Thursday, June 28, 2012

2012 NBA Draft: Winners and Knicks



            This is the second NBA draft I have now written about, and I think that it will be a more talented one than last year’s pool of players. Outside of the NBA Rookie of the Year Kyrie Irving, no real stars emerged. Ricky Rubio was an interesting flash in the pan and there were some decent role players taken such as Kawhi Leonard and Iman Shumpert, but the fact that these guys were somewhat legitimate rookie of the year candidates showed how Irving made the only severe impact from last year’s draft. Even Kyrie came as a surprise to me, who I doubted because of his foot injury and inexperience. I was happy to be proved wrong and see a needy city like Cleveland find their next superstar so soon after losing their last one. This year, there may be multiple players who can go above and beyond the minor contributions that most of last year’s draft class had to offer. One thing that annoys me about the NBA draft is how players are drafted and by the next morning they have already been traded. The NFL trades draft picks, but NBA teams draft and then trade the players. Hopefully everyone stays put so this all still applies later on. I may not be blown away by the talent available, but it is a good enough class to provide some immediate help to this summer’s draft winners.

            Kentucky’s one-two punch led off as Anthony Davis and Michael Kidd-Gilchrist took the first and second spots. Davis was an obvious but still interesting decision by the New Orleans Hornets. Davis lacks versatility, slightly undersized against opposing centers and lacking in athleticism against small forwards. His shot blocking is the only guarantee but also has a decent mid-range shot and an improving post game. Davis will immediately be a defensive/rebounding presence, and his offensive game should develop as the year progresses. He moves well but is not nearly as big as he is tall, and may be in for a surprise when battling NBA big men under and above the rim. While Kidd-Gilchrist may not have as high a ceiling as a potentially dominant big man, I believe that right now he is a more complete player. Physically, he is a beast who can provide great athleticism, rebounding (for his small forward position), and defensive ability. He can attack the rim on offense, guard any of the 1-3 positions on defense, and will make the hustle plays that ultimately change games. He may not be the best shooter, but he is a difference maker. Unfortunately, he plays for the Bobcats…so everything I just said may not amount to anything.

            Decisions made outside of the lottery picks have always been more interesting to me because good teams are acquiring quality players. I think the Celtics are a major draft day winner. Their only glaring weakness was rebounding and, of course, how they get older every day. Losing Ray Allen will not be a problem with the emergence of Avery Bradley. Between him and Rondo, their back-court is set. The possibility of losing Garnett is a troubling one, but taking Sullinger and Fab Melo with consecutive picks, in my opinion, was a great move. These two moves may, if all goes well, single handedly make their front-court younger, stronger, and ultimately better. Boston got great value by taking guys whose stock had fallen, which allowed top tier talent to fall to the latter stages of the first round. Imagine all age related criticism disappearing when Paul Pierce is the only old guy and he is surrounded by Rondo, Bradley, Sullinger, and Melo. The new look Celtics will not need a transition stage between eras as an elite eastern conference team.

            I love what Boston did, but the ultimate draft day winner was still the Hornets. Taking Austin Rivers with the 10th pick was a very nice compliment to Anthony Davis. Those two players, in my opinion, actually make New Orleans a legitimate contender to make the playoffs, even in the superior western conference. Rivers can make the biggest shots and create open looks for himself. When all else fails on offense, he doesn’t. There are some miscellaneous picks that I like, even though no one pick is enough to make a team a draft day winner. Dion Waiters and Kyrie Irving make a great pair of guards in Cleveland. Kendall Marshall has the best inheritance in the NBA as the Suns pass down Steve Nash’s offensive system to him after Nash presumably leaves for Miami, New York, or another destination. Miles Plumlee is a great fit for the Pacers because not having a solid backup for Roy Hibbert and his foul trouble were one of their leading causes of death against the Miami Heat. If they kept playing good defense with Hibbert on the bench, they stand a much better chance at not blowing that 2-1 series lead. Perry Jones III lost a lot of value in draft stock over the past year, but moving to OKC may make him better than ever.

            I must dedicate a few thoughts to my New York Knicks, who have decided to not participate in the first round again. I guess those 24 games of 9.4 points per game from Tracy McGrady were worth sacrificing this year’s first rounder. I decided to not include a section on draft losers because no selections were confusion enough to frustrate me. I instead replaced that segment with this, hence the name change from "Winners and Losers" to "Winners and Knicks". The Knicks do not like to draft in the first round on the off chance that it will help our future. I paid very close attention to that 18th pick, and the Rockets selected Terrence Jones, the Kentucky Forward. He can play either the 3 or 4, and reminds me a lot of Kidd-Gilchrist. He brings a lot of defense and athleticism but, despite his tendency to linger around the three point line, is also not the best shooter. He sounds like the kind of athlete the Knicks could use, one willing to hustle and play defense. Last year we actually had a first round pick and used it to take someone with second round talent, so maybe I am not missing out on much. I actually ended up really liking Shumpert, but of course Kenneth Faried had to go and have a better season to remind me that the Knicks still made a mistake. Faried was the name I was yelling at my TV as we received the no name Georgia Tech guard, and despite how much we lucked out with him my opinion has not changed on the matter. They play similar games, strong defense, but he plays it at a position we needed more from and has two good knees. Amare and Shumpert combined have one good knee. To be honest, I am finishing this article before the Knicks’ 48th overall pick in the second round because they have already taken up more space here than they deserve. If they take anyone who plays good defense, I consider it a good pick.

            Overall, I believe a draft day winner needs to make two great picks. Three teams, in my opinion, were able to do this. The Hornets took the most talented tandem of any team by far with Davis and Rivers. The Celtics addressed their needs to perfection and drafted as well as possible with two late picks with their Sullinger and Melo selections. Finally, I love the Warriors combination of Harrison Barnes from UNC at 7 and Draymond Green from Michigan St at 35. These are two guys who can simply do it all on both sides of the court and led two great programs for a combined six years. The Warriors always seem to have good players but never seem to piece it all together. Perhaps these two are the steps needed to put them over the top and into the playoffs. These are my three personal picks for NBA draft winners, and I think each one is on a much better looking path to next year’s playoff race.

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